SOL Price Prediction: Navigating Critical Support and Institutional Momentum

#SOL

• Technical Positioning: SOL is testing critical $133 support with mixed technical signals - trading below the 20-day MA but maintaining position above Bollinger lower band
• Fundamental Strength: Despite security concerns, Solana maintains 99% dominance in tokenized stock trading and shows strong DEX volume growth exceeding $400 billion
• Market Sentiment: Institutional accumulation near support levels and recovery momentum toward $150 suggest underlying bullish confidence despite short-term volatility

SOL Price Prediction

SOL Technical Analysis: Critical Support Test Ahead

SOL is currently trading at $137.11, below its 20-day moving average of $140.04, indicating potential short-term bearish pressure. The MACD reading of -5.63 shows weakening momentum, though the price remains well above the Bollinger Band lower limit of $121.59. According to BTCC financial analyst William, 'The $133 support level represents a crucial technical threshold. A sustained break below this level could trigger further downside toward $121, while holding above may signal consolidation before another attempt at the $150 resistance zone.'

Mixed Sentiment Amid Institutional Accumulation and Security Concerns

Market sentiment for SOL appears cautiously optimistic despite recent security incidents. The Upbit wallet hack attributed to Lazarus Group has raised security concerns, but this is counterbalanced by strong institutional accumulation NEAR the $133 support level. BTCC financial analyst William notes, 'While security breaches create temporary headwinds, Solana's dominance in tokenized stock trading with 99% market share and the DEX volume surge past $400 billion demonstrate robust fundamental strength. The network's recovery toward $150 and strong remittance wallet momentum suggest underlying bullish sentiment.'

Factors Influencing SOL's Price

Upbit Admits Wallet Flaw Enabled $30M Hack, Blames Lazarus Group

Upbit has acknowledged critical vulnerabilities in its wallet security systems that facilitated a $30 million hack. The exchange confirmed the breach originated from a flaw allowing private key exposure, now resolved after forensic blockchain analysis.

The attack bears hallmarks of North Korea's Lazarus Group, mirroring their 2019 exploit. Upbit accepted full responsibility, stating 'no excuses exist' for the security lapse.

This incident underscores persistent threats to crypto custodianship, particularly from state-sponsored actors. Market observers note the hack involved Solana-linked wallets, though Upbit's swift disclosure may mitigate reputational damage.

Solana Nears Critical $133 Support Amid Institutional Accumulation

Solana (SOL) approaches a pivotal $133 support level as institutional interest surges. Bitwise's Solana ETF recently acquired $13.15 million worth of SOL, signaling growing confidence among large-scale investors.

Technical indicators reveal a strong support zone near $133, with RSI and moving averages suggesting potential buying opportunities. Despite a 1.51% dip to $137.35, SOL maintains a $9.12 billion 24-hour trading volume and $76.78 billion market capitalization.

The asset's resilience and ecosystem growth continue to attract capital, with analysts noting an attractive risk-reward setup at current levels.

Solana Rebounds Toward $150 as Remittix Gains Wallet Momentum

Solana stabilizes above short-term support levels, with institutional inflows providing a floor under recent volatility. The $140–$142 zone emerges as a critical battleground for bulls seeking to validate the recovery.

Remittix captures attention following its crypto wallet launch on the App Store, demonstrating how functional milestones can shift market focus during uneven sentiment periods.

Bitwise's Solana ETF records $527 million inflows since November 10, reinforcing liquidity conditions ahead of seasonally strong December trading windows.

DEX Trading Volumes Surge Past $400 Billion as Market Shifts Off-Exchange

Decentralized exchange (DEX) trading volumes have skyrocketed, surpassing $400 billion as market momentum increasingly moves away from centralized platforms. The DEX to CEX spot ratio has more than tripled from 6.0% in 2021 to 21.2% in 2025, signaling a structural shift in trader behavior.

Solana's memecoin frenzy and Binance-linked order routing have been key drivers behind record DEX volumes. Perpetuals DEXs like Hyperliquid have seen explosive growth, with volumes hitting multi-trillion-dollar marks.

The path hasn't been linear. After dropping to 5.4% in September 2022, the ratio only recovered when U.S. regulators began encouraging permissionless trading in March 2023. The real breakout came in early 2025, with Solana-based activity pushing the ratio to 18.7% in January alone.

Solana Cements Dominance in Tokenized Stock Trading With 99% Market Share

Solana has become the undisputed leader in tokenized stock trading, capturing 99% of the market for four consecutive months. The blockchain's supremacy highlights its appeal to developers building real financial products, thanks to its fast execution, predictable costs, and scalable infrastructure.

Competitors like Ethereum, Base, and Avalanche have failed to gain traction in this niche. Solana's technical advantages—particularly its ability to handle high transaction volumes without congestion—have made it the platform of choice for tokenized finance.

The network's growing utility coincides with a 12% price surge this week, with SOL rebounding strongly from a key support level at $121.66. Analysts note early signs of a trend reversal as buyers step in, though resistance near $144 remains a hurdle.

Solana Price Prediction: SOL Approaches Make-or-Break Resistance After Strong Bounce From $121

Solana is regaining momentum after a volatile week, with market structure stabilizing above short-term supports. Institutional flows and ETF inflows suggest early signs of relief, though broader crypto sentiment remains mixed. SOL's resilience is underscored by $527 million in Bitwise's Solana ETF inflows since November 10, signaling steady demand despite market turbulence.

Technical hurdles loom as SOL tests the $140–$142 resistance band. A breakout could signal a broader trend reversal, while rejection may reinforce lower-high formations. Treasury activity and institutional backing provide a supportive backdrop, but volatility is expected to intensify near key levels.

Is SOL a good investment?

Based on current technical and fundamental analysis, SOL presents a mixed but potentially promising investment opportunity. The cryptocurrency is testing critical support at $133 while showing strong institutional accumulation and fundamental growth in key areas.

BTCC financial analyst William suggests, 'Investors should monitor the $133 support closely. A successful hold above this level, combined with Solana's growing dominance in tokenized assets and institutional interest, could provide favorable risk-reward dynamics for medium-term positions.'